FEB 19 SLATE
11 gamesPLAYER PROPS
Top 20 ranked by DS + matchup signal
PLAYER STAT LINES (PROJ. LINE)
Season averages adjusted for opponent defense + paceTOP 50 DYNAMIC SCORE
League-wide player rankings by DSLINEUP TRENDS
Hot combos + fades with full player details
Norman Powell
🔄 Combo Guard
70
Pelle Larsson
🎯 Sharpshooter
52
Bam Adebayo
🏰 Rim Protector
70
Andrew Wiggins
📐 Stretch Big
60
Davion Mitchell
🔄 Combo Guard
60
Miles Bridges
📐 Stretch Forward
63
LaMelo Ball
⚡ Scoring Guard
74
Moussa Diabaté
🏋️ Traditional PF
58
Brandon Miller
⚡ Small-Ball 4
71
Evan Mobley
🏰 Rim Protector
73
Darius Garland
🎯 Playmaking Guard
64
De'Andre Hunter
📐 Stretch Forward
51
Jarrett Allen
🏋️ Traditional Center
66
Donovan Mitchell
⚡ Scoring Guard
89
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
⚡ Scoring Guard
99
Luguentz Dort
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
52
Chet Holmgren
🏰 Rim Protector
76
Jalen Williams
🧠 Point Forward
71
Cason Wallace
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
⚡ Scoring Guard
99
Jaylin Williams
📐 Stretch Big
52
Alex Caruso
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
56
Dwight Powell
🏋️ Traditional Center
43
Naji Marshall
📐 Stretch Forward
58
Caleb Martin
🔒 3-and-D Wing
40
Sam Merrill
🔄 Combo Guard
62
Jaylon Tyson
📐 Stretch Forward
61
Donovan Mitchell
⚡ Scoring Guard
89
Chet Holmgren
🏰 Rim Protector
76
Aaron Wiggins
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
55
Ajay Mitchell
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
70
Alex Caruso
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
56
Isaiah Hartenstein
🔮 Versatile Big
70
Victor Wembanyama
🏰 Rim Protector
88
Alex Caruso
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
56
Ajay Mitchell
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
70
Derrick White
🛡️ Defensive Specialist
74
Taylor Hendricks
🔒 3-and-D Wing
40
Isaiah Collier
🎯 Playmaking Guard
49
Cam Whitmore
🔒 3-and-D Wing
40
Bub Carrington
🧠 Floor General
41
Precious Achiuwa
💨 Athletic Wing
40
Domantas Sabonis
🔮 Versatile Big
56
Precious Achiuwa
💨 Athletic Wing
40
DeMar DeRozan
📐 Stretch Forward
55
Domantas Sabonis
🔮 Versatile Big
56
Kevin Porter Jr.
🎯 Playmaking Guard
70
Gary Trent Jr.
⚔️ Slasher
40
Kyle Kuzma
📐 Stretch Forward
50
Drew Eubanks
🏋️ Traditional PF
40
Zach LaVine
🔄 Combo Guard
53
DeMar DeRozan
📐 Stretch Forward
55
Keyonte George
⚡ Scoring Guard
70
Cody Williams
🔒 3-and-D Wing
40
Svi Mykhailiuk
📐 Stretch Forward
44
Jusuf Nurkić
🔮 Versatile Big
54
Russell Westbrook
🎯 Playmaking Guard
56
Precious Achiuwa
💨 Athletic Wing
40
DeMar DeRozan
📐 Stretch Forward
55
Keegan Murray
🔒 3-and-D Wing
50
Dominick Barlow
🏋️ Traditional PF
49
Tyrese Maxey
⚡ Scoring Guard
87
Andre Drummond
🏋️ Traditional Center
42
Paul George
📐 Stretch Forward
66
HOW NBA SIM WORKS
NBA SIM is a data-driven prediction system that analyzes coaching schemes, player archetypes, and lineup synergy to predict game spreads and over/unders. All data sourced from 2025-26 NBA season statistics via the official NBA API.
DYNAMIC SCORE (DS) — 40 TO 99
Every player gets a Dynamic Score from 40-99 based on a weighted formula combining production, efficiency, and impact metrics. The formula weights:
Dynamic Range shows the expected floor-to-ceiling for each player based on their score volatility. Elite players (DS 85+) have tighter ranges, while mid-tier players have wider variance.
Team DS Ranking (1-30) is the minutes-weighted average Dynamic Score across each team's top 10 rotation players. Each player's DS is weighted by their minutes per game, so high-minute stars influence the team rank more than bench players. This gives a roster-strength ranking that accounts for how much each player actually plays.
PLAYER ARCHETYPES
Players are clustered into archetypes using K-Means on 16 statistical features per position group. The optimal number of clusters (K) per position is chosen by silhouette score, with a minimum of 3 archetypes per position. Features include per-36 rates, efficiency metrics, and impact stats — weighted differently per position (e.g., assists weighted 1.5x for PGs, blocks 1.5x for centers).
COACHING SCHEMES
Each team's offensive and defensive schemes are classified from play type distributions, pace, and shooting profiles using percentile-rank comparison.
Offensive Schemes
Defensive Schemes
SPREAD & TOTAL METHODOLOGY
Real lines are pulled from sportsbooks via The Odds API when available. When no sportsbook lines exist (e.g. pre-release, All-Star break), the SIM generates projected lines marked as (PROJ. SPREAD) and (PROJ O/U).
Projected spreads use team net rating differentials + a 3-point home court advantage. Projected totals use offensive/defensive rating matchups × pace. All rounded to nearest 0.5.
Player props marked (PROJ. LINE) are season averages adjusted for opponent defense and pace. Real player props replace projections when released by sportsbooks.
LINEUP COMBINATION ANALYSIS
We track 2-man, 3-man, 4-man, and 5-man lineup combinations across the entire season. Each combo is evaluated by net rating, minutes played, and games played together. Minimum thresholds ensure statistical reliability:
Hot Combos show lineups with the best net ratings this season — these units are outscoring opponents significantly when they share the floor. Fade Combos are the worst-performing groups — teams bleed points when these players are together.
Trend badges (🔥 HEATING UP, ⚡ ELITE FLOOR, 💀 DISASTERCLASS, etc.) use game count and net rating thresholds to flag the most notable lineup trends across the league.
PROP SCORING
Player props are scored on a normalized 0-100 scale per prop type (PTS, AST, REB, PRA, STL+BLK). Each prop is adjusted by opponent defensive rating, pace matchup, and player efficiency (TS%). OVER props trigger for favorable matchups; UNDER props trigger when facing elite defense or when a player has poor efficiency (TS% below 53%).